Observation Date:
December 19, 2022 - December 19, 2022
Submitted:
December 19, 2022
Observer:
Clancy Nelson | ESAC Forecaster
Zone or Region:
Rock Creek
Location:
Rock Creek - It's Not Dead Yet!
Recent Avalanches?
None Observed
Cracking?
Isolated
Collapsing?
Isolated
I toured in Rock Creek, where the snowpack is shallower, to track the sensitivity of the persistent slab problem.
- Near treeline, at 11,100 feet, I triggered long shooting cracks and a big collapse from 40 feet away. (See video above) I got several more collapses and cracks up to the ridge line where the persistent problem is spottier because of wind scouring and deposition.
- Though I saw some tufts of blowing snow in the morning, there was less wind than forecast. I only found small, unreactive wind slabs near the ridge.
- It was cold. That will likely keep the buried weak layers from healing in areas where the snowpack is the shallowest.
- The areas that concern me most for the persistent slab problem – which hasn’t gone away yet – are areas with shallower snow cover adjacent to thick, hard slabs. If you can initiate a failure in a continuous layer of buried facets, they can propagate that failure across a slope.
I initially started my day planning to cautiously step out towards steeper terrain. Now I’ll continue to check my slope angle in terrain where I find a stiffer slab over the persistent weak layer that’s buried less than a meter from the surface.
Increasing clouds and cold temps.